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Persian Gulf · DIPLOMATIC

4/10

Severity

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has officially denied the existence of any ongoing negotiations between Tehran and Washington.

AI Reasoning

The lack of diplomatic channels between Iran and the US increases the risk of miscalculation and escalation in the Persian Gulf, as there are no established de-escalation mechanisms to manage potential maritime confrontations.

Risk Score

4.5

Time (UTC)

Mar 25, 2026, 23:25