Persian Gulf · ECONOMIC
9/10
Severity
The ongoing war involving Iran is causing significant global economic instability, leading to warnings of catastrophe and downward revisions of growth forecasts by the OECD.
AI Reasoning
The conflict with Iran directly threatens maritime chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz, which is critical for global energy supplies; the high risk score reflects the potential for systemic economic collapse if regional maritime trade is severely disrupted.