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Strait of Hormuz · SHIPPING

8/10

Severity

Iran has formally notified the International Maritime Organisation that it will restrict passage through the Strait of Hormuz to non-hostile vessels, explicitly excluding ships linked to the US and Israel.

AI Reasoning

This policy represents a significant escalation in maritime security, as it challenges the principle of freedom of navigation in a critical global energy chokepoint and increases the likelihood of direct naval confrontation or state-sanctioned vessel seizures.

Risk Score

8.5

Time (UTC)

Mar 25, 2026, 05:00